Wilma the Hurricane get us???

“

Oh, just frigging GREAT!

Another storm in the Gulf!”

“unbelievable,,, maybe it'll die out or turn away from the MS/LA Gulf Coast. Yall done had your share this year.”

“If it crosses the Loop Current, look out!”

“Hang tight, only six weeks of hurricane season left.

Here on the Outer Banks we're keeping the plywood we use to board up the place up handy and the battery for the cordless drill charged. Also, fingers are crossed.”

“i'm thinking the gulf will be too cool for it to become a hurricane.”

“It's still plenty warm. :-(

Man, I'm not feeling very well about this one. Maybe I'm gun shy.”

“Not true. There is a warm water current that enters the Gulf from the strait between Yucatan and Cuba and loops around before running past the tip of Florida into the Atlantic. That is known as the Loop Current - the same water that fueled Katrina and Rita. Wilma is forecast to become a hurricane, doubtlessly due to this same warm current.”

“Sheesh, y'all have had enough already!”

“AccuWeather is going farther out than the National Hurricane Center.”

“They really don't know where it's going to go, the models are all over the place.

Here's the latest discussion from the hurricane center:

WTNT44 KNHC 171434
TCDAT4
TROPICAL STORM WILMA DISCUSSION NUMBER 8
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
11 AM EDT MON OCT 17 2005

THE DEVELOPMENT TREND THAT WE HAVE BEEN ANTICIPATING FOR A COUPLE OF
DAYS IS UNDERWAY. DEEP CONVECTION IS BEING MAINTAINED VERY NEAR
AND SOUTH OF THE CIRCULATION CENTER...WITH BANDING FEATURES
DEVELOPING NEAR THE CENTER IN THE SOUTHWEST QUADRANT. DVORAK
CLASSIFICATIONS FROM TAFB AND SAB WERE T3.0/45 KT...AND A QUIKSCAT
PASS AT 12Z SUGGESTS WINDS ARE ALSO 40-45 KT. THE ADVISORY
INTENSITY IS CONSERVATIVELY INCREASED TO 40 KT...AND I EXPECT
STRONGER WINDS WHEN THE RECONNAISSANCE AIRCRAFT ARRIVES EARLY THIS
AFTERNOON. OCEANIC AND ATMOSPHERIC CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR
CONTINUED STRENGTHENING AND THERE HAS BEEN LITTLE CHANGE TO THE
OFFICIAL INTENSITY FORECAST.

WILMA DROVE SOUTHWARD OVERNIGHT BUT A WESTWARD COMPONENT SEEMS TO
HAVE RETURNED...AND THE INITIAL MOTION IS ESTIMATED TO BE 235/4.
MODEL GUIDANCE HAS BEEN EXTRAORDINARILY INCONSISTENT FROM RUN TO
RUN AND THERE IS PRESENTLY A HUGE SPREAD IN THE GUIDANCE. WHAT IS
MOST PUZZLING IS THAT THE MODELS THAT BEST ANTICIPATED THE
SOUTHWARD MOTION OVERNIGHT...THE GFDL AND THE GFS...ARE WAY OUT
THERE ON THE EASTERN EDGE OF THE GUIDANCE ENVELOPE WITH A TRACK
OVER WESTERN CUBA AND INTO THE EXTREME SOUTHEASTERN GULF OF MEXICO.
THE UKMET...NOGAPS...AND ECMWF TAKE WILMA INTO VARIOUS PARTS OF THE
YUCATAN PENINSULA. THERE ARE IMPORTANT DIFFERENCES IN THE AMOUNT
OF MID-LEVEL RIDGING OVER THE WESTERN GULF OF MEXICO IN THESE
MODELS THAT IS AFFECTING THE ABILITY OF WILMA TO CONNECT WITH THE
WESTERLIES NEAR THE END OF THE FORECAST PERIOD. WHILE IT IS
TEMPTING TO ADJUST THE TRACK TO THE RIGHT BASED ON THE RECENT
CHANGES WITH THE GFS AND GFDL MODELS...THE FACT THAT THE 6Z RUNS OF
BOTH MODELS WERE INITIALIZED A BIT TOO FAR NORTH MAY MEAN THAT THEY
ARE TOO FAST WITH THE RECURVATURE SCENARIO. FOR NOW...I HAVE MADE
LITTLE CHANGE TO THE OFFICIAL FORECAST. CLEARLY...CONFIDENCE AT
THE LONGER RANGES IS UNUSUALLY LOW. WHILE THE SOUTHWARD MOTION
OVERNIGHT NOW REQUIRES A TROPICAL STORM WARNING FOR
HONDURAS...GIVEN THE UNCERTAINTIES IN TRACK AS WELL AS THE SIZE OF
THE CYCLONIC ENVELOPE...IT IS A LITTLE PREMATURE TO LOWER THE WATCH
AND WARNING FOR THE CAYMAN ISLANDS.

FORECASTER FRANKLIN”

“That's what I thought.”

“sheesh Grimy, you should move to Maine...
:)”

“The destruction of Tampa /St. Pete ?”

“Y'all are out of letters after this one -- you may have to go Greek...

If this one brushes by New York, hopefully it'll move a little faster than Tammy did, whose not-so-graceful graceful presence brought us 9 consecutive days of torrential rain...”

“I like the latest forecast a little better. ;-)”

“Here we go again!”

“They're talking about a cat 3 or 4! by Saturday. Jeez!”

“Tango, Central FL, where you are, should be fine. You'll be on the 'good' side of the hurricane if it goes to plan.”

“Let's hope, our local forecast said there could be as much as a 100 mile error in the track. They are deciding at work whether we have to have hurricane coverage.”

“I'm keeping my head in the sand on this one.

It's NOT going to come anywhere near me!
It's NOT going to come anywhere near me!
It's NOT going to come anywhere near me!
It's NOT going to come anywhere near me!

If it does, I'm afraid I might just dig a hole and climb in.”

“hmm,........ maybe chocky and i will spend a million dollars on gas going up to the mountains this weekend after all.”

“So glad to see you Om!! Hope you're doing great!”

“Go for it om!!!!!
LOL”

“TIME TO FRIGGIN FILL UP AGAIN!!! huh. the day gas finally drops to $2.50 again comes another hurricane. great.”

“It's now a cat 5: 175mph winds”

“waddya mean "get us???"

Get you maybe

but not me baby


NJ is way to toxic
for a hurricane to dare
come anywhere near
last edited: 10/19/05 7:50:37 AM”

“well i guess it is my turn to get a hurricane!!!! jeepers this one looks bad for me, i live on the beach in madeira beach. i may be saying so long to my home of 25 years!! i have started buying extra water and today i'm takeing the cat for his regular check-up and will get some extra food for him. this really does not look good for me!! if we do evacuate i will let a couple of ya know where i will be and some phone numbers. i'll probably organize and get the camping gear ready to go. we'll either be in largo with my daughter or at my folks in st pete.
surfergirls hospital will start discharging patients today and moving others to hospitals futher in. i'll keep yall informed!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!”

“Take your deeds, photos, and things that can not be replaced, cyndeee.

Maybe the storm will weaken or go further South!”

“That would be crazy funny if New Orleans got hit again by an even BIGGER hurricane!”

“Nothing funny about a hurricane.”

“You're right. There is nothing funny about a hurricane.

This is something funny about New Orleans trying to rebuild in a hurricane zone and getting his again.”

“Nothing funny about having everything you possess destroyed ... and then getting kicked while you are down”

“That's right. There is nothing funny about being kicked while you are down.

There is something funny about going back into the same ring knowing you're going to get kicked again, and then getting kicked. "Hello! McFry!"


last edited: 10/19/05 8:19:06 AM”

“Let's please leave the pissing contests to the Fuego threads, please.

This is a hurricane thread, and is deadly serious to cyndeee and anyone else in the path.”

“That's McFly! "Hello! McFly!"”

“Nobody was pissing until you complained GGGGS.”

“Wilma has one of the lowest barometric pressures ever recorded for a Gulf storm!”

“This is a hurricane thread, and is deadly serious to cyndeee and anyone else in the path. -G4S

Suggestion: Get out of the path.

(for those that missed the last hurricanes lessons learned)

In other words, "Make like a tree and get out of here."”

“wasn't Katrina the lowest baro pressure ever just a few weeks ago? Now Wilma's got that beat?

WOW”

“an important item to remember is....

a can opener

:)”

“Pissing is what Sarge does.”

“being the idiot on hurricanes i am, what does it mean if the barometric pressure is low?”

“The lower the pressure in the eye, the more powerful the hurricane.”

“It means the winds are very bad. ;-)”

“Wow, hopefully my grandmother’s place in Fort Myers will be ok. It's a good thing she is still up here, but she is supposed to be heading down in a few weeks. That might not happen if she doesn't have a place to go to.”

“Lower pressure means a more intense storm with higher winds. Higher winds means more destruction and higher storm surge.

From CNN story: "At 8 a.m. ET, the NHC reported an Air Force reconnaissance plane measured the storm's pressure at 882 millibars -- below the record of 888 millibars in 1988's Hurricane Gilbert."

It's the lowest reading on record, not just this year. It should be noted that records do not go back that far, and many records from early years are not as reliable as more recent data.”

“Although I've always wondered how they keep an open barrel of mercury from sloshing around too much in an airplane that's flying into the eye of a hurricane.”

“They have electronic barometers these days. Nothing to slosh around but the contents of the stomachs of the crew. And the fuel tank.”

“Most of the canned goods given out after the hurricane were the pull top cans, but a can opener is a very good idea.

One of my neighbors and coworkers lived off of cold Chunky Campbells Soup right from the can for weeks after. I walked over to chat at his cube yesterday and he was openning a can to eat for lunch, cold. He claims he likes them that way.”